The acceleration of change in healthcare is driven to a large extent by the acceleration in computing and communication technologies. Spurts will soon come from:
The acceleration in computing power will continue to accelerate our understanding of biology. A new “SETI@Home”-style program will use online game machines (which already have far more power than your PC) to study protein folding and its effects in the body. * * * Other news:
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HIMSS and Internet2 Partnership
The Healthcare Information and Management Systems Society (HIMSS) and Internet2 have created a partnership to develope a next-generation network offering the health sciences and healthcare sectors a private and secure medium for exchanging health information. It may contribute to the creation of a US National Health Information Network (NHIN). HIMSS has 20,000 individual and more than 300 corporate members. Internet2 is a consortium of 208 US universities and over 100 industry and government members, who have operated an advanced nationwide Internet for the research and academic community since 1999. A major upgrade to Internet2 already under way will provide members ten times the capacity and speed of its current infrastructure (reaching 100 Gigabits per second in 2007). Internet2 has also developed authentication and authorization technologies for “active privacy management.” The new partnership has established four working groups to explore:
In addition, members of both organizations will work for the development and implementation of the network with other partnerships and collaborations, including Integrating the Healthcare Enterprise (IHE). Cheap and abundant silicon can do almost anything with light except generate it well. Indium phosphide generates light very well but is rare and costly. Intel and University of California researchers have found an easy and inexpensive way to manufacture hybrid silicon-indium phosphide chips that will move data far more quickly than conventional chips and slash the cost of broadband telecommunication network components. “This marks the beginning of highly integrated silicon photonic chips that can be mass-produced at low cost,” a researcher told the BBC News. The hybrid chip could be on the market by 2010. IBM Plans 1.6 Petaflop World Champion Later this year IBM will start delivery to the Los Alamos National Laboratory of a supercomputer four times more powerful than the current world’s fastest, IBM’s “BlueGene/L.” When delivery is completed in 2008, it will cover 12,000 square feet (1,100 square metres) of floor space. “Roadrunner,” as the new machine is codenamed, will use 16,000 standard supercomputer processors and 16,000 “Cell” chips, each of which has eight processors and is capable of 256 gigaflops (billion calculations per second). (Cell chips are also used in Sony’s PlayStation 3 (PS3) game machine.) Roadrunner is intended for US nuclear weapons stockpile monitoring. It will provide 1.6 petaflops (1,600 trillion calculations per second) of performance at peak speed. By comparison, BlueGene/L is theoretically capable of “only” 367 teraflops (367 trillion calucaltions per second.) Stanford University has also announced plans to take advantage of the PS3 Cell chips by distributing to online gamers a program similar to the SETI@home project, which uses idle PCs connected to the Internet to process radio telescope data to find signs of extra-terrestrial intelligence. The Stanford program will run on gamers’ networked PS3s while the machines are idle, to examine how the changing shape of proteins as they “fold” affects diseases such as Alzheimer’s, Huntington’s, Parkinson’s, and many cancers. Just 10,000 PS3s running the program would have a performance equivalent to one petaflop, but the Stanford team hopes to enlist 100,000 of them. Freescale’s magnetoresistive random-access memory (MRAM) chip -– “the most significant development in computer memory for a decade,” according to one analyst — stores data magnetically rather than electronically. That means the data are still there even after the power is cut, unlike the standard RAM chips in today’s computers. Flash memory is also impervious to power cuts, but MRAM has faster read and write speeds and does not degrade over time. The chips might one day be used to store the entire operating system, so system start-up would be nearly instantaneous. Freescale produced the four-megabit chips for two months to build up levels of stock before offering it to customers, of which it claims to have several, in July. “Well, I’ll be darned. It’s really on and it’s really working. I’m wearing a headset, talking, and my PC is writing down everything I say in Microsoft Word. I’m speaking at full speed, perfectly normally except that I’m pronouncing the punctuation (comma), like this (period). Let’s try something a little tougher. Pyridoxine hydrochloride. Antagonistic Lilliputians. Infinitesimal zithers. Hm! Not bad.” So began New York Times technology columnist David Pogue in a thorough review of one automatic speech recognition (ASR) program. He concluded: “. . . dictation software is ready for prime time; the state of this art has attained nearly ‘Star Trek’ polish.” Artificial intelligence (AI) passed its 50th anniversary this year, still alive despite persistent overpromise and underdelivery. It survives because the two are coming closer to balance, thanks to the data richness of the Web environment. AP writer Brian Bergstein gives two examples of that better balance, demonstrated at the American Association for Artifical Intelligence annual conference in July:
The Thomson Earnings News service, aimed at financial advisers, brokers, and investment managers, delivers two types of articles generated by a computer, reports Anick Jesdanun of the Associated Press. In one type, the computer compares a company’s quarterly earnings report with analyst forecasts then produces a story stating whether earnings exceeded or fell short of expectations. The second type monitors minute changes in analysts’ outlooks on various companies and can generate articles based on company or industry trends. Human reporters sometimes expand on the computer-generated stories. The company says it is simply “a tool that can be used by journalists to create a more interesting story so they are not spending time pouring over databases to (spot) some anomaly.” Launched earlier this year, the service has about 12,000 individual subscribers in the United States. “Imagine a computer that could pick the right emotional moment to try to sell you something, a future where mobile phones, cars and Web sites could read our mind and react to our moods,” a scientist involved in the development of an “emotionally aware” computer told Patricia Reaney of Reuters. The system is able to reveal an individual’s mood by analyzing facial expressions for boredom, interest, confusion, or agreement/disagreement. Applications could include improving driving skills, tailoring advertising to people’s moods, and determining whether a student understands what is being explained. The team says it is “working with a big car company and they envision this being employed in cars within five years.” The joint UK/US development team hopes to get the system to accept other inputs such as posture and gesture as indicators of mood. |